Corona Files

♦ Corona Math - Advanced Version (This can get kind of deep into advanced statistics and even some calculus. It will be a LOT easier to get a handle on it if you think about the slope as a rate of change <like velocity> and then think about the rate of change of that velocity over time <like acceleration> ). If you've had at least one semester of calculus, this one's for you. If you're interested in math, this one's for you

♦ Corona Math - Gentle Version This shows the same data and the same graphs, without the high level calculus & stats. It can be kind of interesting to watch the first one, and just absorb what you can, and then watch the second one for clarity.

A friend of mine made THIS video for his middle school science classes over in Eastern Washington

 

Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland has one the GREAT medical schools in the world and is at the forefront of many biological sciences.

Much of the following data is from their Covid-19 website HERE

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WORLD DATA DETAILS

April 10

April 11

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April 12

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April 13

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April 21

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April 11 - World Infection Growth Rate

Notice that graph of the world map of infections has definitely curved upwards over time, although it appears to be linear at the moment.

If that line begins to curve upwards, that may indicate that we are still on the leading edge of the epidemic.

If that line begins to flatten out, that may indicate we are "over the hump" of new infections and the epidemic may be slowing.

A line that continues with a constant slope could indicate we haven't done enough testing

Keep your eye on countries with large populations such as India, Pakistan, Indonesia, Brazil, Bangladesh, Nigeria

WORLD DATA TRENDS

April 11

April 14

April 17

April 21

Top 10 Countries by Infection Rate

April 13

April 17

April 21

UNITED STATES DETAILS

April l1

April 12

April 13

April 14

A prominent politician just told a national news organization that "This was not and is not a pandemic!”.

Mr W Says: Please, please, please... look at the math, look at the data and get your data and information from reliable sources such as: The Center for Disease Control, The Washington State Department of Health, The University of Washington, Johns Hopkins University, Pierce County Health Dept

Get your science from people who know science!

April 15

April 16

April 17

April 18

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April 21

 

 

US County Map

April 14

April 15

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April 17

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April 19

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April 21

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WASHINGTON STATE (Wa State Dept of Health)

April 10

Notice that our state had a very gentle curve (hence the term "flattening the curve") for the first few weeks.

For the last couple of weeks it has been fairly linear.

We're hoping that curve will start to flatten (or fall off to the right) in the weeks to come. That will be a strong indication that social distancing is working in our state.

We need to make sure to maintain that social distancing so that line doesn't turn into a steeper curve upwards. That could be a sign that we are doing a whole lot more testing and/or that we need to be more diligent in our social distancing.

April l0

April 11

April 12

April 14

Johns Hopkins site now includes STATE level data!

Notice how the data in our state appears to be changing direction. However, please keep in mind that we are still not testing nearly as much as we'd like to.... so let's hope that trend continues!

WASHINGTON STATE TRENDS

April 18

Little bit of an up-tick here. Could be due to more testing... let's keep an eye on that!

April 21

Johns Hopkins site now includes COUNTY level data too!

PIERCE COUNTY TRENDS

April 13

The trend looks promising! Keep up your social distancing!!!!

April 18

April 21

PIERCE COUNTY DETAILS

April 15

April 17

April 19

 

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A few rural states such as South Dakota have not begun social distancing restrictions. Compare their trends with our out state and county (above) especially in light of the fact that Washington State was the first state in the country to implement social distancing.

Let's see how their data changes over time.

SOUTH DAKOTA TRENDS

April 14

April 17

April 19

April 21